Worst case scenario match analysis and contextual variables in professional soccer players: a longitudinal study

José M. Oliva-Lozano; Daniel Rojas-Valverde; Carlos D. Gómez-Carmona; Víctor Fortes; José Pino-Ortega

doi:10.5114/biolsport.2020.97067

eISSN: 2083-1862
ISSN: 0860-021X

Biology of Sport

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4/2020
vol. 37

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abstract:

Original paper

Worst case scenario match analysis and contextual variables in professional soccer players: a longitudinal study

José M. Oliva-Lozano

¹

,

Daniel Rojas-Valverde

^{2, 3}

,

Carlos D. Gómez-Carmona

⁴

,

Víctor Fortes

⁵

,

José Pino-Ortega

⁶

Health Research Centre. University of Almería. Almería, Spain
Centro de Investigación y Diagnóstico en Salud y Deporte, Escuela Ciencias del Movimiento Humano y Calidad de Vida, Universidad Nacional, Heredia, Costa Rica
Grupo de Avances en Entrenamiento Deportivo y Acondicionamiento Físico (GAEDAF), Deporte Faculty of Sports Science. University of Extremadura, Cáceres, Spain
Optimization of Training and Sports Performance Research Group (GOERD). Didactics of Music, Plastic and Body Expression Department. Faculty of Sports Science. University of Extremadura, Cáceres, Spain
Unión Deportiva Almería, Almería, Spain
Physical Activity and Sports Department. Faculty of Sports Science. University of Murcia, San Javier, Murcia, Spain

Biol Sport. 2020;37(4):429–436.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5114/biolsport.2020.97067

Online publish date: 2020/07/14

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This study aimed to describe the worst-case scenarios (WCS) of professional soccer players by playing position in different durations and analyse WCS considering different contextual variables (match half, match location and match outcome). A longitudinal study was conducted in a professional soccer team. Data were collected from different WCS durations in the total distance (TD), high-speed running distance (HSRD), and sprinting distance (SPD). A mixed analysis of variance was performed to compare different WCS durations between playing positions and contextual variables, making pairwise comparisons by Bonferroni post hoc test. Positional differences were found for TD (p < 0.01, ωp 2 = 0.02), HSRD (p < 0.01, ωp 2 = 0.01) and SPD (p < 0.01, ωp 2 = 0.02). There was a significant interaction when comparing WCS by match half in TD (F = 6.1, p < 0.01, ωp 2 = 0.07) but no significant differences in HSRD (p = 0.403, ωp 2 = 0) or SPD (p = 0.376, ωp 2 = 0). A significant interaction was identified when comparing WCS by match location in TD (F = 51.5, p < 0.01, ωp 2 = 0.14), HSRD (F = 19.15, p < 0.01, ωp 2 = 0.05) and SPD (F = 8.95, p < 0.01, ωp 2 = 0.01) as well as WCS by match outcome in TD (F = 36.4, p < 0.01, ωp 2 = 0.08), HSRD (F = 13.6, p < 0.01, ωp 2 = 0.04) and SPD (F = 7.4, p < 0.01, ωp 2 = 0.02). Positional differences exist in TD, HSRD, and SPD in match-play WCS, and contextual variablessuch as match half, match location and match outcome have a significant impact on the WCS of professional soccer players.

keywords:

Worst case scenario match analysis and contextual variables in professional soccer players: a longitudinal study

José M. Oliva-Lozano 1 , Daniel Rojas-Valverde 2, 3 , Carlos D. Gómez-Carmona 4 , Víctor Fortes 5 , José Pino-Ortega 6

External load, competition demands, most demanding passage, GPS, playing positions, match outcome, match periods, match location

José M. Oliva-Lozano

¹

,

Daniel Rojas-Valverde

^{2, 3}

,

Carlos D. Gómez-Carmona

⁴

,

Víctor Fortes

⁵

,

José Pino-Ortega

⁶