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2/2024
vol. 9
 
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Original paper

Prevalence of COVID-19 and its determinants in Raparin administrative area/ Iraq: a survey study

Jangy Esmail Abdulla
,
Jamal K. Shakor
,
Ahmed Farhan Shallal
,
Ribwar Arsalan Mohammed
,
Bezhan Sleman Mahmud
,
Sabrya Ahmed Awlla
,
Harem Mahamad Salih

Long-Term Care Nursing 2024; 9 (2): 60-70
Online publish date: 2024/07/12
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1. INTRODUCTION

Coronavirus is one of the dangerous viruses, whose name has become associated with a serious health problem in most regions of the world. COVID-19 is a new type of coronavirus that spreads rapidly from person to person and becomes a pandemic disease that WHO declared in early 2020. COVID-19 is in a family of zoonotic coronaviruses, such as the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) and the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (MERS-CoV) seen in the past decade. Initially, this disease was reported in the Wuhan city of China, and the first fatal cases were reported in late 2019 [1-3]. Coronaviruses have spikes that look like a crown on their external surface so it was called the Coronavirus. Coronavirus is a small, enveloped, non-fragmented, single-stranded RNA virus, with genomes up to 32 kb, considered the largest RNA virus. Coronaviruses are classified into four subgroups that include alpha (α), beta (β), gamma (γ), and delta (δ) family [34-5].

Previous studies have shown that among those who have contact with COVID-19 cases that show symptoms of a respiratory infection, and their rate was 38% compared to non-contact people [6]. Since COVID-19 SARS-2 evolved into a pandemic in the past 20 months, numerous scientific evidence has been undertaken to determine the prevalence and risk factors that contribute to the occurrence of COVID-19. However, the number of confirmed cases has varied from country to country, while a community survey to estimate and determine the affected number and its relation is highly essential. In addition, Patient presentation symptoms may vary from one person to another, and the most commonly reported symptoms range from mild symptoms to severe symptoms which are fever, cough, diarrhea, fatigue, and anosmia, dyspnea[7]. However, various symptoms were reported, but risk factors that contribute to the occurrence covid are different from one group of people to another which might be due to unhealthy related behaviors or comorbidities of affected people[8]. Numerous scientific studies declared that patients who had comorbidities were prone to be severely affected by COVID-19 in comparison with other groups [9]. In addition, this virus may have fatal effects, especially on the elderly and those with chronic diseases [10]. In addition, obesity is also one of the factors that may affect the severity of symptoms [11]. As mentioned above, identifying affected people, and exploring related risk factors in any community will help local health providers to provide health services and make a plan for prevention, diagnosis, and treatment of patients effectively. Therefore, delineate the frequency of COVID-19 (SARS-2) and investigate the associated risk factors within any given community, which would facilitate local healthcare providers in delivering healthcare services and devising effective strategies for the prevention, diagnosis, and treatment of patients. Hence, the objective of this investigation was to ascertain the prevalence of COVID-19 and examine its causative factors within the Raparin administration.

2. Materials and methods

2.1. Design of the study

This survey study has been carried out using the cross-sectional design to find out the affecting rate of COVID-19 in Raparin District. It was a community-based study, a group of Nursing College students from the University of Raparin contributed to the data collection. These data were collected from 24th November 2020 to 18th January 2021.

2.2. Study sampling

In total, 5205 individuals were recruited for this survey, and a probability method using the cluster/multistage sampling technique has been used to assign a survey sample. Randomly some quadrant or district was selected in the first stage. After that, a cluster of households in the selected quadrants in the urban, suburban, and rural areas were included in the survey.

2.3. Administrative

This survey was approved by the University of Raparin, and official permission has been obtained from the public health administration of the area. Any individuals who did not give consent or did not answer all questions thoroughly were excluded from data analysis.

2.4. Data collection

A constructed questionnaire was used for data collection. All participants were interviewed about questions related to sociodemographics, health behavior, and COVID-19. Data regarding sociodemographic and health behavior were asked from all participants. Any individual who was clinically or laboratory diagnosed with COVID-19 during the disease pandemic was considered a study case, COVID-19 affected. Any subject aged more than 10 was included in this study.

2.5. Data analysis

All data were analyzed through SPSS- version 24. Descriptive analysis was conducted by presenting data in the tables in the form of frequency and percentage. Inferential analysis, using chi-square was used to test the significant determinants affecting COVID-19, sociodemographic, and health behaviors.

2.6. Results

According to study outcomes, almost 27 % of the surveyed participant was affected by COVID-19. Nearly, half of the participants were male (51%), married encompasses 61.5%, and 63.3% were living in urban. Approximately, half of the surveyed participants perceived barely sufficient economic status, and housewife was the highly frequent occupational status 26.2%. level of education was considered low, only 15.6% had graduated educational level, and participant age was mostly in the middle age group (30-34 years old).

Table 1

Sociodemographic characteristics of the surveyed population

Sociodemographic characteristicFrequencyPercentage (%)
Gender
Male269651.8%
Female250948.2%
Total5205100.0%
Marital status
Single188036.1%
Married320361.5%
Divorced150.3%
Widow/er1072.1%
Residential area
Urban331163.6%
Suburban117422.6%
Rural72013.8%
Income
Sufficient145327.9%
Barely sufficient266751.2%
Insufficient108520.8%
Occupational status
Jobless52110.0%
Governmental employee93718.0%
Self-job75914.6%
House-wife136526.2%
Others20.0%
Student87816.9%
Worker60211.6%
Retired1402.7%
Level education
Illiterate88517.0%
Able to read and write1703.3%
Primary school103419.9%
Secondary school165931.9%
Institution59811.5%
College81115.6%
Postgraduate480.9%
Age groups (years)
<1016.3%
10-142645.1%
15-1958411.2%
20-2485416.4%
25-2954610.5%
30-3470013.4%
35-395079.7%
40-444258.2%
45-493917.5%
50-543356.4%
55-591512.9%
60-641242.4%
≥653085.9%

Table 2 noted that almost prevalence of COVID-19 was 27%. This study has demonstrated that nearly 13.3%, were smokers, and 26.3% do physical exercises. Almost 14.7% of the participants had chronic diseases and 13.3 % used protein as protective measures.

Table 2

Distribution of health behaviors among surveyed population

Health behaviors distributionFrequencyValid Percent
Affected by COVID-19
Yes140527.0
No380073.0
Confirm by PCR case71813.8
Clinical case68713.2
Smoker
Yes70313.5
No450286.5
Total5205100.0
Alcohol consumption
Yes30.6
No517599.4
Total5205100.0
Do any exercise
Yes137926.5
No382673.5
Total5205100.0
Do you have chronic diseases
Yes76314.7
No444285.3
Have use protein to improve immunity
Yes69213.3
No451386.7

Table 3 showed the determinants of COVID-19 affecting and death. The study has found that marital status, age, occupational status, and level of education have a significant relationship with affecting COVID-19, (P value was less than 0.05). COVID-19 was high among males, married, rural residents, government employees, insufficient economic status, and illiterate and postgraduate education levels. The mean age was 7 years higher significantly in the affected group than the non-affected group. The mean age of death was almost twofold compared to the affected group (65.12±14.8). Male gender has determined the affecting of COVID-19 and death due to COVID. The prevalence of death due to COVID-19 among males (2.3%) is significantly high compared to females (1.2%).

Table 3

Association between socioeconomic factors and affecting to COVID-19

VariablesHave been affected with COVID-19?Death By COVID-19P value
YesNo
Gender
Male753(27.6)1943(69.9)80(2.3)0.118
Female652(25.6)1857(73.0)33(1.2)
Total1405(26.4)3800(71.4)113(2.12)
Mean of age (years)39.37±15.5232.55±15.3765.12±14.80.000
Marital status
Single329(17.5%)1551(82.5%)0.000
Married1034(32.3%)2169(67.7%)
Divorce2(13.3)13(86.7%)
Widow/er40(37.4%)67(62.6%)
Residential area
Urban866(26.2%)2445(73.8%)0.162
Suburban328(27.9%)846(72.1%)
Rural211(29.3%)509(70.7%)
Occupational status
Jobless107(20.3)414(78.8)4(0.0)0.000
Governmental employee387(40.3)550(57.3)22(2.3)
Self-job207(27.1)552(72.4)3(0.4)
House-wife402(28.8)963(68.9)32(2.3)
Student107(12.2)771(87.8)0(0.0)
Worker130(21.6)475(78.5)0(0.0)
Retired65(46.4)75(53.6)0(0.0)
Income
Sufficient390(26.8%)1063(73.2%)0.404
Barely sufficient705(26.4%)1962(73.6%)
Insufficient310(28.3%)775(71.4%)
Level of education
Illiterate305(34.5%)580(65.5%)0.000
Able to read and write57(33.5%)113(66.5%)
Primary school245(23.7%)789(76.3%)
Secondary school333(20.1%)1326(79.9%)
Institution graduate208(34.8%)390(65.2%)
College graduate234(28.9%)577(71.1%)
Post graduate23(47.9%)25(52.1%)

Table 4 revealed the factors which determine the COVID-19 affecting. The study has found no smokers, those presenting with chronic diseases, having close contact, those who have been protecting themselves, and obesity were significantly associated with affecting COVID-19, (P value less than 0.001). COVID-19 was high among non-smokers, those having a chronic disease, protecting themself, those obese, those doing physical exercise, and having close contact. The prevalence of death was significantly high among smokers and those having chronic diseases (P value less than 0.001).

Table 4

Association between health behavior and affecting COVID-19

Health behaviorsHave affected with COVID-19?Death by COVID-19P. value
YesNo
Smoker habit
Smoker146(20.1)557(76.8)22(3.0)0.000
Non smoker1259(27.6)3243(71.1)91(1.9)
Total1405(26.4)3800(71.4)113(2.12)
Pregnancy status
Pregnancy14(20.0%)56(80.0%)0.135
Non pregnancy307(28.9%)755(71.1%)
Exercise behavior
Doing exercise379(27.5%)1000(72.5%)0.646
Non doing exercise1026(26.8%)2800(73.2%)
Chronic disease condition
Having chronic disease328(39.3)435(52.1)72(8.6)0.000
Non having chronic disease1077(24.0)3365(75.1)41(0.1)
Total1405(26.4)3800(71.4)113(2.12)
Protective
Protective self724(30.2%)1672(69.8%)0.000
Non protective self681(24.3%)2127(75.7%)
Body max index
Low body weight25(9.5%)234(90.5%)0.000
Normal body weight560(23.4%)1834(76.6%)
Over weight550(30.9%)1230(69.1%)
Obese203(33.7%)399(66.3%)
High obese67(40.4%)99(59.6%)
Total1405(27%)3800(73%)

Discussion

SARS-2 poses a high transmitted rate and incidence rate compared with two predecessors, Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) and Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) [12-13]. In a short period, many people have been affected by COVID-19. Currently, nearly 150 million people have been affected by COVID-19 and in this number, nearly 125 million were recovered, hitherto less than 1% of the world population has been affected by COVID-19 [9,14]. According to a current survey, the affecting rate in the population was about 27%, affecting rate for confirmed cases was 13% (113 death cases have been not included). The result was high compared to worldwide data and Iraq, cumulative case rate was 2414/100 000 population according to WHO in the same month of 2021[14]. The high rate of affecting cases in this survey is related to the Iraqi surveillance which has not included the cases which have been confirmed in the private sector. A study has found the estimated seroprevalence of the general population to find out the accurate affecting rate. On November 1, 2020, this study estimated the nationwide cumulative COVID-19 prevalence (past and current infections relative to the population size) is 31% for Peru, 27% for Mexico, 22% for Brazil, 11% for the United Kingdom, 8.2% for France, 7.4% for Sweden [13]. In February 2020, the first case (R0) was reported in a survey on 502 populations in the research area (date) [1]. During these 14 months, COVID-19 affected its high prevalence. The high number of affecting cases in the short period could be related to health policy in the area and population demographic and health background. In a Korean study, low socioeconomic status was most vulnerable for affecting COVID -19 [15]. Socioeconomics was considered the main determinant of COVID-19 affection in this survey. The survey has found that married people, a highly aged population, government employees, and both low and high education levels were significantly affected by COVID-19. Governmental employees were more vulnerable in this study; this may be related to more contact. A study in the US has confirmed that high-proximity job and outdoor job has a significant association with affecting COVID-19 [16]. Correspondingly, the high effects of COVID-19 on married people may relate to close contact with spouses and age group 20-49. A study has confirmed that the ages of 20-49 years in India, or above 50 in other countries are highly susceptible to affecting COVID-19 [17]. Some other study has illustrated that the cumulative incidence of COVID-19 is high among male and age population [18]. In the current survey, the affect rate was also high in males, while was not significant. The mean of age among affected cases was 7 years higher compared to non-affected (32 years), and the mean of death was almost twofold higher compared to affected cases. Our finding was in parallel with the Korean study which indicated that the young age (20 -39 years) was more at risk for COVID-19, and gender had no significant difference [15]. Meanwhile, the mean age in this survey is considered less compared to the Italian study [18]. In this study, age was significantly related to COVID-19 fatality. Regarding healthy behavior, nearly 13 % of the surveyed population used protein as prophylaxis and other protective measures. Nearly 15% had one or more chronic diseases, and 13% were a smoker. Health behaviors were also highly determined by the affecting rate of COVID-19. The affecting rate was significantly high among non-smokers, those having a chronic disease, protecting themself, those obese, those doing physical exercise, and those having close contact. Having a chronic disease in this study has also led to death. The high affecting rate and fatality of chronic diseases such as diabetes and obesity have been approved in many studies [15,19]. Some of the current findings such as protecting themselves, smoking, and doing physical exercise were negative to the published kinds of literature. However, a study has confirmed about severity and fatality of COVID in smokers, but there is no study to confirm about high susceptibility of a smoker to affect COVID-19 [20]. The current study has demonstrated that smoking decreases the risk of COVID-19 but has increased the risk of death.

Conclusion

COVID-19 is a prevalent disease, and younger age groups are highly risky groups that are affected by COVID-19, low educational level, obesity, having comorbidities, and non-smokers had a significant association with affected COVID-19. High age, smoking, and comorbidity determine covid-19 fatality.

Ethical considerations compliance with ethical guidelines

This study was completed following obtaining consent from the University of Raparin.

Funding

This research did not receive any grant from funding agencies in the public, commercial, or non-profit sectors.

AUTHOR’S CONTRIBUTIONS

Study concept, Writing, Reviewing the final edition by all authors.

Disclosure statement

The authors report no conflict of interest.

Acknowledgements

We thank the anonymous referees for their useful suggestions.

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